
The LA Angels and NY Yankees matchup looks to be a hard fought battle that may take the seven games to crown an American League Champion. The two teams split the season series 5-5 and the home team won 7 out of the 10 games. Both teams are evenly matched. Where the Angels use speed and athleticism, the Yankees use power and strength to win games. Both teams have solid starting pitching, with the Angels more confident in using four pitchers than the Yankees. The Angels beefed up their rotation by acquiring Scott Kazmir from the Rays and getting John Lackey and Joe Saunders back from injuries. Jered Weaver has been the ace all season long. The Yankees have the stronger bullpen with the combination of Alfredo Aceves, Dave Robertson, Joba Chamberlain, Phil Coke, and Phil Hughes getting the lead to closer Mariano Rivera (who may be the best closer ever) in the ninth inning. All have the ability to strike anyone out (Robertson: 63 K in 42 2/3 innings, Hughes: 65 in 51 1/3 innings). The one weakness to the Yankees bullpen is their youth and inexperience in big games, and their overuse all season long. The Angels have the stronger outfield, with better range and throwing arms, and more offensive firepower. The Angels go first to third better than any team in baseball and will take advantage of the Yankee outfield of Johnny Damon, Melky Cabrera, and Nick Swisher. Behind the plate, the Angels sometimes sacrifice defense for offense with Mike Napoli over Jeff Mathis though Napoli has gotten better behind the plate. The Yankees have Jorge Posada and Jose Molina and it’s almost a guarantee the Angels will run, just like they did against the Boston Red Sox. The infields are evenly matched: the Angels (Chone Figgins, Erick Aybar, Howie Kendrick, Maicer Izturis, and Kendry Morales) are more athletic and have more range and the Yankees have a gold glover at first base in Mark Teixeira, who saves errors by his teammates. The Yankees infield produces more homeruns though the Angels have more speed. The entire Angels team is patient at the plate (except for Vladimir Guerrero) and the Yankees pitchers tend to walk a few too many. This could be the key to the entire series.
The biggest question mark for the Angels has been their bullpen. Veteran Darren Oliver has been stellar all season long and against the Red Sox he was just the same. Closer Brian Fuentes is not conventional or automatic, but he got he job done against the Red Sox in the ALDS. As I mentioned above, the middle relief for the Yankees is a question mark. It looked strong in the ALDS against the Twins. How will the young guys react to the added pressure of being one series win from the World Series? Will Joe Girardi be able to use the same guys everyday like he did in the ALDS?
Game 1: John Lackey @ CC Sabathia
Lackey was dominant against the Red Sox in the ALDS and he made one start against the Yankees in 2009. Lackey went seven innings giving up six hits and two runs, while striking out six. His one start was in LA. Yankees manager Joe Girardi is hoping to have Sabathia pitch in Games 1, 4, and 7, all on three days rest. Sabathia thrived down the stretch last season with the Brewers when he pitched the entire month of September on three days rest.
Game 2: Joe Saunders @ AJ Burnett
Saunders faced the Yankees twice in LA, pitching 13.1 innings, giving up 16 hits and seven runs. However his second start after the All-Star break was excellent, going into the 9th giving up just two runs without walking a batter. Burnett has had problems with his command throughout his career and his start against the Twins was no different. However, if he can find a way to escape the jams he put himself into, he can be dominant. In his two starts against the Angels this season, Burnett struggled against their left-handed hitters, giving up five runs. In all, Burnett pitched 12.2 innings, giving up 15 hits and six runs, while walking four and striking out 16.
Game 3: Jered Weaver vs. Andy Pettitte
Weaver struggled against the Yankees in three starts this season. Weaver has been better at home (17 GS, 9-3, 2.90 ERA, 27 BB/ 99 K) than on the road this season, so manager Mike Scioscia lined him up to pitch in LA. Pettitte may be the wild card for the Yankees. He has the playoff experience and success. Plus he has one of, if not the best pickoff move in the game. His presence on the mound could keep the Angels running game in check. However, Pettitte has not had success against the Angels this season in three starts (16 IP, 21 H, 14 R, 8 BB, 6 K), two of which came in LA.
Game 4: Scott Kazmir vs. ?
The Angels acquired Kazmir for these situations. Kazmir had success in his career against the Red Sox and though he struggled in his Game 3 start, he kept the Angels in the game long enough for them to come back and win. Kazmir also has had success against the Yankees. In 3 starts this season, Kazmir pitched 19.2 innings, giving up 17 hits and seven runs while striking out 14. He also only allowed one homerun. Yankees manager Joe Girardi is planning on using a 3-man rotation for this seven-game series, though weather permitting. With the extra days off, the Yankees can get away with only using three starters, though the weather forecast for the first two games in NY is rainy and cold. This could force the Yankees to go with Joba Chamberlain or Chad Gaudin to start Game 4.
Key Matchups:
Brian Fuentes vs. Mark Teixeira and Alex Rodriguez: This may be Fuentes toughest test. To get to the World Series, Fuentes will need to keep Teixeira and A-Rod in check. Fuentes has pitched better on the road than in LA. Against right-handed hitters in 2009, Fuentes has struggled, giving up 6 homeruns (0 to lefties). Against left-handed pitchers, Teixeira’s power numbers were down (just 9HR and 31 RBI), though his batting average was over .300. A-Rod’s power numbers were also down against left-handed pitchers (just 8 HR, 21 RBI). He also struggled this season in late-inning at-bats.
Mariano Rivera vs. Bobby Abreu, Torii Hunter, and Vladimir Guerrero: In four games against the Angels this season, Mo gave up just two hits (0 runs) with 5 strikeouts. In 41 late-inning at-bats, Abreu hit well over .300, with 7 RBIs and the typical 12 walks, getting on base for those behind him to drive him in. Late in the game Hunter has thrived, hitting over .380 in 49 at-bats, with 4 homeruns and eight RBIs. Vlad also thrived late in the game, hitting close to .450 in 31 at-bats, with 2 homeruns and 6 RBIs.
Chone Figgins: In his career, Figgins has owned the Yankees. This year he hit over .330 against them. However, Figgins has struggled throughout his career in the postseason, with a batting average hovering around .180. The Angels will need Figgins to step up and get on base for the Angels to win the league crown.
Tags:
ALCS, Alex Rodriguex, Andy Pettitte, Angels, Brian Fuentes, Chone Figgins, Jered Weaver, Joe Saunders, John Lackey, Mariano Rivera, Mark Teixeira, Scott Kazmir, Yankees
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